Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Caernarfon and TNS finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caernarfon haven't matched TNS's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors TNS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | TNS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caernarfon Compare
TNS Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
TNS has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)TNS
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 80 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 45 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | 41 |