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Caersws FC vs Llanidloes Town

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC play Llanidloes Town in the Cymru North 2023/2024. Caersws FC are favorites here. Recently, Caersws FC averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.49 conceded. Llanidloes Town averaged 1 goals scored and 3.45 conceded. In past meetings, Caersws FC won 3, Llanidloes Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Caersws FC and 1.19 for Llanidloes Town. This points to a Caersws FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Caersws FC
15%
Draws
14%
Llanidloes Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caersws FC picked up more points recently compared to Llanidloes Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 20%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Llanidloes Town
Matches Played 41 31
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.85 1
Goals Conceded 1.49 3.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Llanidloes Town
5:0
Dec 26, 2023 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Caersws FC
1:3
Nov 10, 2012 FA Cup
Llanidloes Town vs Caersws FC
3:2
Nov 6, 2010 FA Cup
Caersws FC vs Llanidloes Town
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Francis-Jones C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Llanidloes Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 68 / 100
Llanidloes Town 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Llanidloes Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Caersws FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caersws FC attacking → ← attacking Llanidloes Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Llanidloes Town let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Caersws FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Llanidloes Town lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 12
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Holywell Town FC30263179:1781
2Flint Town30253294:3078
3Airbus UK Broughton FC30235284:2874
4Mold Alexandra301811166:5055
5Bangor 1876301721162:5553
6Denbigh301541171:6049
7Ruthin Town301261258:5242
8Guilsfield301171248:4640
9Caersws FC301091160:5339
10Gresford301071347:5437
11Buckley301061454:6036
12Llandudno FC301011959:8031
13Prestatyn30751839:7423
14Porthmadog30642035:6622
15Chirk AAA FC30342332:8213
16Llanidloes Town30232525:1069