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Caete vs Capitao Poco

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Ju Alagoano

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2025 game between Caete and Capitao Poco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capitao Poco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Caete
15%
Draws
64%
Capitao Poco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Capitao Poco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Capitao Poco's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Caete Clean Sheet 18%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caete Capitao Poco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Paraense
Caete vs Capitao Poco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caete Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Alagoano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caete 20 / 100
Capitao Poco 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caete Capitao Poco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Caete found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Caete remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caete VS Capitao Poco
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caete

(Home)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 6

Capitao Poco

(Away)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
3 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
4 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
6 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
7 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
8 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
10 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
11 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
12 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
3 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
4 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
3 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
4 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
2 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
3 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
4 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)