Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Raylson
55'
55'
Moreira H.
(Penalty)
84'
84'
Thulio
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Caete and Independente finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caete.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Independente carry the better recent record into this one.
- Independente are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Caete Clean Sheet 20%
Independente Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caete | Independente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 20 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2025 Paraense
Caete vs Independente
3:0
Feb 15, 2023 Paraense
Caete vs Independente
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caete Compare
Top Goalscorer Raylson
1 Goals Assists Leader Thulio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Independente Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caete 20 / 100
Independente 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caete Independente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independente let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Caete scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.
Caete has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Caete VS Independente
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caete
(Home) 03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2 Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0 Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0 Santos PA
Page 1 of 7
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2 Paragominas
16 May
Caete
0 : 0 Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0 Santos PA
23 Feb
Caete
0 : 1 Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Caete
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
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Independente
(Away) 07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0 Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0 Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0 Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2 Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1 Independente
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0 Independente
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2 Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1 Independente
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
0 : 0 Independente
17 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Independente
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
