Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari U19 vs Monza U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Catena E. M.
16' Event
Marras T.
17'
Kassama S.

AI Match Summary

Monza U19 in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monza U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cagliari U19
30%
Draws
31%
Monza U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Monza U19 haven't matched Cagliari U19's recent run of results.
  • Cagliari U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cagliari U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Cagliari U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Monza U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U19 Monza U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs Monza U19
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Primavera 1
Monza U19 vs Cagliari U19
2:4
Sep 22, 2021 Coppa Italia Primavera
Cagliari U19 vs Monza U19
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carboni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Monza U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U19 40 / 100
Monza U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U19 Monza U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monza U19 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Cagliari U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Cagliari U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U19 VS Monza U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U19

(Home)
19 Jul
Cagliari
3 : 0
Cagliari U19
19 May
Verona U19
3 : 5
Cagliari U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Fiorentina U19
1 : 2
Cagliari U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
Page 1 of 7

Monza U19

(Away)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Juventus U19
1 : 1
Monza U19
04 May
Monza U19
2 : 1
Frosinone U19
27 Apr
AC Milan U19
1 : 2
Monza U19
21 Apr
Monza U19
1 : 1
Lazio U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)