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Stadium Background

Cagliari U20 vs Napoli U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
De Luca A.
19'
Cogoni A.
44'
Trepy Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cagliari U20
30%
Draws
18%
Napoli U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli U20 haven't matched Cagliari U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cagliari U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U20 Napoli U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20
0:3
May 17, 2026 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Napoli U20
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primavera 1
Napoli U20 vs Cagliari U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Napoli U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U20 77 / 100
Napoli U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U20 Napoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari U20 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Napoli U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U20 VS Napoli U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U20

(Home)
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
Page 1 of 6

Napoli U20

(Away)
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2
Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)