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Cagliari U20 vs Spezia U20

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Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 game between Cagliari U20 and Spezia U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cagliari U20
30%
Draws
37%
Spezia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Cagliari U20's 1.53 goals per match outpaces what Spezia U20 have produced (1.04).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U20 Spezia U20
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Cagliari U20
2:0
Nov 17, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Cagliari U20 vs Spezia U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U20 30 / 100
Spezia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U20 Spezia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari U20 scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Spezia U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Cagliari U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U20 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2
Cagliari U20
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
Page 1 of 7

Spezia U20

(Away)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)