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Cagliari vs Inter

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cagliari host Inter in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Cagliari have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Inter's 2.17 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Inter. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cagliari
30%
Draws
38%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Cagliari.
  • Model gives Cagliari a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 17%
Inter Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Inter
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.07 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 36 / 100
Inter 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Inter let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Inter
1.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
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Inter

(Away)
15 Aug
Inter
1 : 0
Betis
08 Aug
Juventus
1 : 2
Inter
05 Aug
AC Milan
1 : 1
Inter
01 Aug
Manchester City
1 : 2
Inter
26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Inter
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lecce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bologna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Frosinone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Genoa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Napoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Udinese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Monza 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sassuolo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Venezia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 AS Roma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Inter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Juventus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lazio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Cagliari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Torino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Parma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Como 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)