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Cagliari vs Inter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
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Match Events

9' Event
Calhanoglu H.
Assist: Barella N.
14'
Akanji M.
56'
Deiola A.

AI Match Summary

Inter in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cagliari
15%
Draws
64%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Cagliari.
  • Model gives Inter a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Inter
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.9 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Calhanoglu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 10 / 100
Inter 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Inter let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Inter
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
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Inter

(Away)
28 Oct
Venezia
0 : 2
Inter
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1
Fiorentina
21 Oct
Inter
1 : 0
Shakhtar
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
13 Oct
Inter
3 : 4
Club Brugge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 9 8 1 0 25:10 25
2 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
6 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
10 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
11 Bologna 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
12 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 9 2 1 6 16:22 7
17 Udinese 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
19 Fiorentina 8 1 1 6 9:19 4
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)