Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari vs Modena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Imputato A. In: Bacchin L.
Out: Imputato A.
46'
Sub
Bianco A. In: Santoro S.
Out: Bianco A.
46'
Sub
Zampano F. In: Montevago D.
Out: Zampano F.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cagliari
30%
Draws
27%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Cagliari have won more games recently than Modena.
  • Model gives Cagliari a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%
Modena Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Modena
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Cagliari vs Modena
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Modena vs Cagliari
2:2
Feb 3, 2023 Serie B
Modena vs Cagliari
2:0
Sep 2, 2022 Serie B
Cagliari vs Modena
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 Serie B
Modena vs Cagliari
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutandwa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Modena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 50 / 100
Modena 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cagliari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Modena has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Modena
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
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Modena

(Away)
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
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