Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari vs St Etienne

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Bernauer M. In: Appiah D.
Out: Bernauer M.
20' Event
Adopo M.
64'
Sub
Cardona I. In: El Jamali N.
Out: Cardona I.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cagliari
20%
Draws
36%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Cagliari haven't matched St Etienne's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 19%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari St Etienne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Cagliari vs St Etienne
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Adopo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

St Etienne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 36 / 100
St Etienne 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cagliari has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cagliari found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

St Etienne let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS St Etienne
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne

(Away)
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3
Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
Page 1 of 6