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Cailungo vs Juvenes/Dogana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cailungo host Juvenes/Dogana in the Campionato Sammarinese. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cailungo have averaged 0.86 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Juvenes/Dogana's 1.23 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Cailungo have won 0 to Juvenes/Dogana's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.75, favoring Juvenes/Dogana. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
42%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cailungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juvenes/Dogana lately — more wins on the board than Cailungo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Juvenes/Dogana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 12%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Cailungo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 35 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juvenes/Dogana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Juvenes/Dogana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS Juvenes/Dogana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)