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Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cailungo play SS Pennarossa in the Campionato Sammarinese. SS Pennarossa are favorites here. Recently, Cailungo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. SS Pennarossa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Cailungo won 3, SS Pennarossa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 7, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Cailungo and 1.94 for SS Pennarossa. This points to a SS Pennarossa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cailungo
16%
Draws
61%
SS Pennarossa
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: SS Pennarossa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Cailungo picked up more points recently compared to SS Pennarossa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo SS Pennarossa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
7:0
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
0:4
Mar 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bua A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SS Pennarossa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pintore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gregori E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 23 / 100
SS Pennarossa 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo SS Pennarossa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SS Pennarossa Win (2)
Secondary Pick SS Pennarossa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cailungo attacking → ← attacking SS Pennarossa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SS Pennarossa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cailungo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SS Pennarossa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2