Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has SS Pennarossa written all over it on paper. Cailungo have averaged 0.89 scored and 2.26 conceded recently, against SS Pennarossa's 1.11 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor SS Pennarossa slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.75, favoring SS Pennarossa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
57%
SS Pennarossa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Cailungo haven't matched SS Pennarossa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cailungo a 28% chance of winning this.
  • SS Pennarossa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SS Pennarossa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 12%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo SS Pennarossa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.89 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
3:0
Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
7:0
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 56 / 100
SS Pennarossa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo SS Pennarossa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cailungo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Cailungo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

SS Pennarossa let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: SS Pennarossa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS SS Pennarossa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
09 Oct
Cailungo
1 : 2
AC Libertas
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

SS Pennarossa

(Away)
09 Oct
SS Pennarossa
1 : 5
Folgore
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -