Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cairese vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Podesta C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Asti Calcio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cairese
15%
Draws
65%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asti Calcio come out ahead of Cairese on wins alone.
  • Cairese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Asti Calcio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Asti Calcio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Cairese
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Cairese
0:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Podesta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 46 / 100
Asti Calcio 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cairese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Cairese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Asti Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Asti Calcio

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cairese 0
Asti Calcio 1
Derthona FbC 1
Gozzano 2