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Cairese vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Own Goal
49' Event
Pavesi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cairese
15%
Draws
64%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gozzano lately — more wins on the board than Cairese.
  • Win probability leans Cairese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gozzano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cairese Clean Sheet 20%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cairese Gozzano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Gozzano
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Cairese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cairese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavesi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cairese 42 / 100
Gozzano 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cairese Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gozzano has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cairese's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cairese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cairese VS Gozzano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cairese

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
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Gozzano

(Away)
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)