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Caja Oblatos vs CD Ayense Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lizarraga J.
60' Event
Tinoco S.
65' Event
Lizarraga J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 game between Caja Oblatos and CD Ayense finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ayense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Caja Oblatos
20%
Draws
36%
CD Ayense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caja Oblatos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ayense come out ahead of Caja Oblatos on wins alone.
  • CD Ayense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Ayense here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caja Oblatos Clean Sheet 13%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caja Oblatos CD Ayense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Caja Oblatos vs CD Ayense
0:4
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Caja Oblatos
3:2
Mar 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Caja Oblatos
4:2
Nov 17, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Caja Oblatos vs CD Ayense
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Caja Oblatos
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caja Oblatos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

CD Ayense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lizarraga J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tinoco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caja Oblatos 27 / 100
CD Ayense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caja Oblatos CD Ayense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ayense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

CD Ayense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Caja Oblatos scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Caja Oblatos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caja Oblatos VS CD Ayense
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caja Oblatos

(Home)
14 Mar
Artesanos Metepec
4 : 0
Caja Oblatos
08 Mar
Caja Oblatos
0 : 2
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
28 Feb
Caja Oblatos
1 : 0
FC Racing
14 Feb
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
2 : 0
Caja Oblatos
08 Feb
Caja Oblatos
1 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
Page 1 of 6

CD Ayense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
28 Mar
FC Racing
2 : 2
CD Ayense
26 Mar
CD Ayense
1 : 1
FC Racing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)