Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Rodriguez A. In: Rengifo H.
Out: Rodriguez A.
20'
20'
Munoz A.
22'
22'
Paredes G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Tarma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Cajamarca haven't matched AD Tarma's recent run of results.
- 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cajamarca | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs AD Tarma
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Cajamarca
2:2
Sep 16, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Cajamarca
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs AD Tarma
0:1
Aug 20, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs AD Tarma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cajamarca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
AD Tarma Compare
Top Goalscorer Canela Torres J. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cajamarca 41 / 100
AD Tarma 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cajamarca AD Tarma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cajamarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cajamarca scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
AD Tarma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
AD Tarma lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cajamarca VS AD Tarma
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cajamarca
(Home) 20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2 Juan Pablo II
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1 AD Tarma
26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
AD Tarma
(Away) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1 AD Tarma
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
