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Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cajamarca play Comerciantes Unidos in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cajamarca averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Cajamarca won 3, Comerciantes Unidos won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Cajamarca and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos. This points to a Comerciantes Unidos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cajamarca
30%
Draws
35%
Comerciantes Unidos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comerciantes Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Cajamarca picked up more points recently compared to Comerciantes Unidos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 23%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajamarca Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajamarca 36 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajamarca Comerciantes Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Comerciantes Unidos or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cajamarca attacking → ← attacking Comerciantes Unidos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajamarca scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Comerciantes Unidos let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cajamarca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Comerciantes Unidos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88