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Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cajamarca host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Liga 1. This has Deportivo Garcilaso written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Cajamarca at 1.21 goals for, 1.9 against; Deportivo Garcilaso at 1.61 for, 0.96 against. Head-to-head, Cajamarca have won 2 to Deportivo Garcilaso's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 2.38) back Deportivo Garcilaso to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cajamarca
15%
Draws
85%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Garcilaso lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajamarca Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajamarca 14 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajamarca Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cajamarca scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Garcilaso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cajamarca VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajamarca

(Home)
23 Oct
Cajamarca
1 : 2
FBC Melgar
18 Oct
Cienciano
1 : 0
Cajamarca
11 Oct
Cajamarca
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
25 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Los Chankas
17 Oct
FBC Melgar
4 : 2
Deportivo Garcilaso
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 14 9 1 4 23:17 28
2 Universitario de Deportes 13 8 3 2 28:19 27
3 Deportivo Garcilaso 13 8 1 4 24:12 25
4 Sporting Cristal 13 8 1 4 26:15 25
5 FBC Melgar 13 7 4 2 24:14 25
6 Juan Pablo II 14 7 4 3 25:16 25
7 A. Lima 13 7 4 2 20:12 25
8 Alianza Atl. 13 7 1 5 25:26 22
9 Cusco 13 7 0 6 24:19 21
10 Sport Boys 13 6 3 4 19:14 21
11 Atletico Grau 13 5 3 5 16:17 18
12 Cienciano 13 4 2 7 16:21 14
13 Comerciantes Unidos 13 3 4 6 23:24 13
14 Los Chankas 13 3 3 7 14:29 12
15 FC Cajamarca 13 3 2 8 20:29 11
16 Moquegua 13 2 4 7 8:20 10
17 AD Tarma 13 1 4 8 9:24 7
18 Cajamarca 13 0 2 11 12:28 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)