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Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cajazeiras
35%
Draws
19%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cajazeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cajazeiras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cajazeiras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alagoinhas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajazeiras Alagoinhas
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
1:1
May 19, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
0:0
May 12, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
0:0
Mar 10, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
2:3
Jun 3, 2017 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajazeiras 85 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajazeiras Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cajazeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cajazeiras scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Alagoinhas let in goals in 70% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Cajazeiras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alagoinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajazeiras

(Home)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
Page 1 of 7

Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cajazeiras 1
Alagoinhas 1