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Cajazeiras vs Conquista FC

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Baiano 2 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2018 game between Cajazeiras and Conquista FC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cajazeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cajazeiras
6%
Draws
4%
Conquista FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cajazeiras come out ahead of Conquista FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cajazeiras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Conquista FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajazeiras Conquista FC
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Conquista FC
4:0
Mar 17, 2018 Baiano 2
Conquista FC vs Cajazeiras
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajazeiras 85 / 100
Conquista FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajazeiras Conquista FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajazeiras found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Conquista FC has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Recent resilience: Cajazeiras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cajazeiras VS Conquista FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajazeiras

(Home)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
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Conquista FC

(Away)
05 May
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Conquista FC
28 Apr
Galicia
2 : 2
Conquista FC
22 Apr
Conquista FC
0 : 1
Colo Colo
14 Apr
Alagoinhas
3 : 1
Conquista FC
07 Apr
Conquista FC
1 : 1
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alagoinhas1053217:718
2Cajazeiras1053215:918
3Colo Colo1052314:817
4Conquista FC933312:1512
5Teixeira de Freitas932410:1011
6Galicia101188:274
Promotion - Baiano 2 2018 (Play Offs)