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Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
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Match Events

44' Event
Echarri M.
80' Event
Pascual D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Cala Pozuelo and Trival Valderas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cala Pozuelo
20%
Draws
38%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cala Pozuelo haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 21%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Trival Valderas
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 9 21
Draws 3 11
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Cala Pozuelo
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Echarri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 32 / 100
Trival Valderas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cala Pozuelo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Trival Valderas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 39 matches.

Cala Pozuelo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cala Pozuelo VS Trival Valderas
0.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cala Pozuelo

(Home)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
11 May
Cala Pozuelo
4 : 1
Alcorcon B
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)