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Calais vs Arras

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CFA - Group B 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group B 2016/2017 game between Calais and Arras finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Calais
30%
Draws
47%
Arras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Arras haven't matched Calais's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular CFA - Group B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Calais Clean Sheet 20%
Arras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calais Arras
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 National 1 - Group B
Calais vs Arras
2:4
Dec 17, 2016 National 1 - Group B
Arras vs Calais
2:1
Feb 13, 2016 National 1 - Group A
Calais vs Arras
3:1
Sep 5, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Arras vs Calais
1:1
Mar 28, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Arras vs Calais
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calais 36 / 100
Arras 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calais Arras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arras has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Calais's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Arras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arras
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Calais

(Home)
20 May
Calais
4 : 4
Boulogne Billancourt
13 May
Lens II
1 : 1
Calais
29 Apr
Calais
2 : 4
Arras
22 Apr
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Calais
15 Apr
Calais
1 : 3
Viry-Chatillon
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Arras

(Away)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sannois 30 16 10 4 52:20 58
2 Fleury-Merogis 30 17 6 7 36:22 57
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 14 12 4 36:20 54
4 Boulogne Billancourt 30 15 4 11 48:42 49
5 Arras 30 13 7 10 47:34 46
6 Lens II 30 13 5 12 36:37 44
7 JA Drancy 30 9 12 9 28:22 39
8 Lille II 30 9 11 10 36:38 38
9 IC Croix 30 10 8 12 34:36 37
10 Le Havre II 30 10 6 14 36:43 36
11 Viry-Chatillon 30 8 12 10 37:40 34
12 Amiens AC 30 9 6 15 30:40 33
13 Poissy 30 8 8 14 37:44 32
14 Wasquehal 30 6 11 13 23:36 29
15 Dieppe 30 6 10 14 21:47 28
16 Calais 30 7 12 11 41:57 26
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)