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Calamocha vs Binefar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Chicho
63' Event
Chicho
88' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

Binefar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binefar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Calamocha
20%
Draws
38%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calamocha lately — more wins on the board than Binefar.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 20%
Binefar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha Binefar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Binefar
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Calamocha
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Binefar
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Calamocha
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Binefar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chicho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 42 / 100
Binefar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Calamocha remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Calamocha's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Binefar conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS Binefar
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
12 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
CF Illueca
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Binefar

(Away)
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 2
Binefar
19 Apr
Binefar
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
12 Apr
Almudevar
1 : 0
Binefar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Calamocha34236549:2275
2CD Cuarte342014043:1274
3Atletico Monzon34234773:3773
4Epila341910539:2067
5CD Caspe341314738:2653
6Huesca B3414101052:3352
7Binefar341461458:4748
8La Almunia341114942:3847
9Almudevar341281434:3944
10Tamarite3410111341:4741
11Andorra CF341091535:4539
12CF Illueca349111435:5138
13Robres341061838:4936
14CD Belchite 97347111628:4332
15CD Carinena345161335:4631
16UD Casetas346121640:5630
17Utrillas345141536:5729
18Zuera342102217:6516
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)