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Calamocha vs Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calamocha host Pena in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Calamocha have averaged 1.14 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Pena's 1.69 scored and 1.28 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.88 - 1.69) back Calamocha to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Calamocha
15%
Draws
57%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 13%
Pena Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha Pena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 11 / 100
Pena 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Calamocha scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Pena has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Calamocha went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS Pena
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
10 Oct
Ebro
2 : 0
Calamocha
04 Oct
Osasuna B
2 : 0
Calamocha
27 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 3
Tudelano
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
10 Oct
Naxara
1 : 0
Pena
03 Oct
Pena
4 : 0
SD Logrones
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
2 Osasuna B 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Olot 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Ebro 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
6 CE Manresa 5 3 0 2 11:5 9
7 Girona B 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
8 Tudelano 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Terrassa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
10 Pena 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
11 UD Barbastro 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Utebo FC 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Reus FC Reddis 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
14 UD Logrones B 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Calamocha 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 SD Logrones 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
17 Naxara 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
18 Arnedo 5 0 0 5 3:16 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)