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Calarasi vs Agigea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Calarasi and Agigea finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Calarasi
30%
Draws
31%
Agigea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calarasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calarasi come out ahead of Agigea on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 14%
Agigea Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Agigea
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Calarasi vs Agigea
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Agigea
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Calarasi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 30 / 100
Agigea 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Agigea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calarasi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calarasi's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Agigea let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Calarasi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Agigea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
09 Oct
Inainte Modelu
2 : 0
Calarasi
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
Page 1 of 7

Agigea

(Away)
10 Oct
Agigea
2 : 2
Otelul 2
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Agigea
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
23 Sept
Agigea
2 : 1
Unirea Branistea
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)