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Calarasi vs Otelul 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calarasi host Otelul 2 in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Calarasi at 1.42 goals for, 1.68 against; Otelul 2 at 1.18 for, 3.93 against. Head-to-head, Calarasi have won 3 to Otelul 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2015, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Calarasi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Calarasi
20%
Draws
23%
Otelul 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calarasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calarasi lately — more wins on the board than Otelul 2.
  • Calarasi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Calarasi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 18%
Otelul 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Otelul 2
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.42 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.68 3.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Calarasi vs Otelul 2
3:0
Sep 13, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul 2 vs Calarasi
0:3
Nov 15, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul 2 vs Calarasi
2:1
Sep 6, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Calarasi vs Otelul 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 67 / 100
Otelul 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Otelul 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calarasi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Calarasi scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Calarasi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Otelul 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
09 Oct
Inainte Modelu
2 : 0
Calarasi
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
Page 1 of 7

Otelul 2

(Away)
10 Oct
Agigea
2 : 2
Otelul 2
02 Oct
Otelul 2
2 : 1
Portul Constanta
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Otelul 2
1 : 2
Gloria Baneasa
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)