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Calarasi vs Sporting Liesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Calarasi and Sporting Liesti finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calarasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Calarasi
20%
Draws
34%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calarasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Liesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Calarasi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Calarasi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Calarasi vs Sporting Liesti
3:2
Mar 21, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Calarasi vs Sporting Liesti
3:0
Oct 12, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Calarasi
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 40 / 100
Sporting Liesti 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Calarasi scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Sporting Liesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Calarasi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Sporting Liesti
0.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
16 Oct
Calarasi
1 : 1
Unirea Branistea
09 Oct
Inainte Modelu
2 : 0
Calarasi
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
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Sporting Liesti

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 9 8 0 1 31:9 24
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
5 Unirea Branistea 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
6 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
7 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)