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Calasparra FC vs Cartagena La Union

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena La Union in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena La Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Calasparra FC
6%
Draws
90%
Cartagena La Union
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena La Union lately — more wins on the board than Calasparra FC.
  • Model gives Cartagena La Union a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasparra FC Cartagena La Union
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Cartagena La Union
0:3
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Calasparra FC
0:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Cartagena La Union
2:4
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Calasparra FC
1:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Calasparra FC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasparra FC 10 / 100
Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasparra FC Cartagena La Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Cartagena La Union let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Calasparra FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Calasparra FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calasparra FC VS Cartagena La Union
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114