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Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Calasparra FC and FC Puente Tocinos finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Calasparra FC
11%
Draws
80%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calasparra FC come out ahead of FC Puente Tocinos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Puente Tocinos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 11%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasparra FC FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos
2:2
Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Calasparra FC
1:5
Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos
1:3
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Calasparra FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasparra FC 10 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasparra FC FC Puente Tocinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Puente Tocinos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Calasparra FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Calasparra FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calasparra FC VS FC Puente Tocinos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasparra FC

(Home)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
Page 1 of 6

FC Puente Tocinos

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Lorca FC
5 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1
Club Edeco Fortuna
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2
Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UCAM Murcia38275681:2286
2Real Murcia B38259469:1884
3Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC38258585:2883
4Cartagena La Union38256772:3681
5Ciudad Cieza38255874:2880
6Bala Azul381812859:4566
7Lorca FC381791258:5160
8CA Pulpileno381691353:4257
9Molina381581560:4553
10Pinatar3813131250:5152
11Club Edeco Fortuna381571639:5752
12Plus Ultra381461844:5748
13Santomera381291743:5745
14Cartagena FC UCAM3811101743:6143
15Moratalla381181944:6941
16Calasparra FC381181945:6441
17Base Abaran38992028:4736
18FC Puente Tocinos38962342:8533
19Beniel38433132:9315
20Lorca Deportiva3822347:728
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)