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Calcio Avola vs ASD Modica Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Castillo W.
49' Event
Reinero A.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Kljajic D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Calcio Avola
15%
Draws
42%
ASD Modica Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcio Avola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • ASD Modica Calcio haven't matched Calcio Avola's recent run of results.
  • ASD Modica Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Calcio Avola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASD Modica Calcio, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Calcio Avola Clean Sheet 16%
ASD Modica Calcio Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Avola ASD Modica Calcio
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 4 3
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Calcio Avola vs ASD Modica Calcio
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Avola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

ASD Modica Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kljajic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Avola 10 / 100
ASD Modica Calcio 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Avola ASD Modica Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Modica Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Calcio Avola scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Recent resilience: Calcio Avola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

ASD Modica Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 7 matches.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Avola VS ASD Modica Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Avola

(Home)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1
Calcio Avola
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 2

ASD Modica Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
ASD Modica Calcio
3 : 0
Enna
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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