Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F Stadio Guido Angelini

Calcio Chieti

1 - 0

Giulianova

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Margiotta F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Calcio Chieti and Giulianova finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Calcio Chieti

39%

Draws

30%

Giulianova

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Giulianova carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 24%

Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Calcio Chieti	Giulianova
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	7	14
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	0.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group F

Calcio Chieti vs Giulianova

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F

Giulianova vs Calcio Chieti

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group F

Calcio Chieti vs Giulianova

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group F

Giulianova vs Calcio Chieti

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group F

Giulianova vs Calcio Chieti

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Margiotta F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Giulianova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 33 / 100

Giulianova 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Calcio Chieti Giulianova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Giulianova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Calcio Chieti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Calcio Chieti scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS Giulianova

0.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ostiamare	34	24	7	3	65:25	79
2	Ancona	34	23	7	4	59:22	76
3	Teramo	34	21	11	2	65:29	74
4	Atletico Ascoli	34	14	13	7	55:35	55
5	Notaresco Calcio	34	13	12	9	43:31	51
6	Aquila Calcio	34	14	9	11	53:44	51
7	Giulianova	34	11	16	7	40:31	49
8	Vigor Senigallia	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
9	Fossombrone	34	11	11	12	28:34	44
10	Unipomezia	34	10	12	12	43:42	42
11	Termoli	34	8	15	11	27:30	39
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43:49	38
13	AS Sora	34	9	11	14	40:50	38
14	Recanatese	34	8	8	18	39:57	32
15	San Marino Calcio	34	8	7	19	33:61	31
16	Calcio Chieti	34	8	11	15	31:55	24
17	Castelfidardo	34	6	5	23	30:65	23
18	Sammaurese	34	5	7	22	30:69	20