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Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs Matese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Salvatore S.
70' Event
Fall A.
90' Event
Fall A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Calcio Chieti and Matese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Calcio Chieti
20%
Draws
23%
Matese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calcio Chieti come out ahead of Matese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Calcio Chieti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Matese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Matese
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.92 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Matese
3:0
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Matese
2:0
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Calcio Chieti
2:0
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Matese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salvatore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 95 / 100
Matese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Matese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Matese conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Calcio Chieti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Matese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Chieti

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 8

Matese

(Away)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)