Sport Picks
Calcio Chieti vs Recanatese
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti 
Match Events
22'
22'
Ela N.
36'
36'
Margiotta F.
57'
57'
Mordini D.
AI Match Summary
Calcio Chieti in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Chieti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recanatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Recanatese lately — more wins on the board than Calcio Chieti.
- Win probability leans Recanatese's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 21%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Calcio Chieti | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Recanatese
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Recanatese
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Calcio Chieti
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Recanatese
3:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Calcio Chieti
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Ela N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Margiotta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Recanatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Mordini D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Calcio Chieti 24 / 100
Recanatese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Calcio Chieti Recanatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Recanatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Recanatese conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Calcio Chieti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Calcio Chieti's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Calcio Chieti VS Recanatese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Calcio Chieti
(Home) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
15 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 1 San Marino Calcio
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Recanatese
(Away) 16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0 Pietralunga
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
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12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
15 Mar
Castelfidardo
2 : 1 Recanatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
