Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldas SC vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Oliveira J.
Assist: Lopes M.
46'
Sub
Farinha L. In: Fernandes D.
Out: Farinha L.
48'
Palmerio M.

AI Match Summary

Caldas SC in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldas SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Caldas SC
30%
Draws
29%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Caldas SC have won more games recently than Amora.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 68%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Amora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gata J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 42 / 100
Amora 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Caldas SC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Caldas SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Amora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
Page 1 of 6

Amora

(Away)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
Page 1 of 6