Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldense vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Henrique J.
64' Event
Lanza T.
90'
Luis Eduardo

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Caldense and Patrocinense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caldense
15%
Draws
85%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patrocinense come out ahead of Caldense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caldense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Caldense Clean Sheet 68%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldense Patrocinense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Patrocinense
1:2
Jun 14, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Caldense
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Caldense
0:2
May 4, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Patrocinense
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs Caldense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lanza T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lailton Canabrava
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldense 46 / 100
Patrocinense 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldense Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patrocinense has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Patrocinense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Caldense scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldense VS Patrocinense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldense

(Home)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)