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Caldicot W vs Cardiff City W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caldicot W play Cardiff City W in the Premier Women 2017/2018. Cardiff City W are favorites here. Recently, Caldicot W averaged 1.28 goals scored and 3.56 conceded. Cardiff City W averaged 3.46 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Caldicot W won 0, Cardiff City W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2018 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Caldicot W and 2.49 for Cardiff City W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Caldicot W
15%
Draws
72%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caldicot W picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 2.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Caldicot W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldicot W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 18 52
Wins 3 37
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.28 3.46
Goals Conceded 3.56 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2018 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Caldicot W
6:1
Oct 29, 2017 Premier Women
Caldicot W vs Cardiff City W
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldicot W 14 / 100
Cardiff City W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldicot W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff City W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cardiff City W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.7%
1.16
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caldicot W attacking → ← attacking Cardiff City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldicot W scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Cardiff City W let in goals in 73% of their last 52 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Caldicot W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 117
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W18152162:1247
2Swansea W18133264:1242
3Abergavenny Town W18122461:2538
4Cyncoed W18121542:2037
5Cardiff City W1883747:3227
6Port Talbot W1881939:4025
7Llandudno FC W18611129:4319
8Rhyl W18421226:6214
9Caernarfon Town W1810179:923
10Caldicot W18311423:641