Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ceriani F.
58' Event
Petdji T.
77' Event
Zanetti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Caldiero Terme and AC Leon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Caldiero Terme
35%
Draws
30%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Leon come out ahead of Caldiero Terme on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caldiero Terme a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme AC Leon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs AC Leon
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Caldiero Terme
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceriani F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petdji T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AC Leon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 95 / 100
AC Leon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

AC Leon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Caldiero Terme has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS AC Leon
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2
Varesina
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
Villa Valle
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AC Leon

(Away)
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0
AC Leon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)