Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022

Ambrosiana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caldiero Terme play Ambrosiana in the Serie D - Group C 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caldiero Terme averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Ambrosiana averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Caldiero Terme won 1, Ambrosiana won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 15, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Caldiero Terme and 1.06 for Ambrosiana. This points to a Caldiero Terme double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Caldiero Terme

35%

Draws

30%

Ambrosiana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Caldiero Terme picked up more points recently compared to Ambrosiana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 22%

Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caldiero Terme	Ambrosiana
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	12	7
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.59	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Caldiero Terme vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Caldiero Terme

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Caldiero Terme vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Dec 23, 2020 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Caldiero Terme

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group C

Caldiero Terme vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Malago M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Boix J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 36 / 100

Ambrosiana 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caldiero Terme Ambrosiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caldiero Terme or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caldiero Terme attacking → ← attacking Ambrosiana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Ambrosiana let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Caldiero Terme went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ambrosiana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 37

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arzignano	34	21	10	3	74:32	73
2	Clodiense	34	20	12	2	53:22	72
3	Adriese	34	19	9	6	61:36	66
4	Luparense FC	34	16	10	8	60:35	58
5	Campodarsego	34	15	11	8	48:37	56
6	Caldiero Terme	34	15	6	13	58:50	51
7	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	14	8	12	51:50	50
8	Montebelluna	34	14	7	13	57:52	49
9	Mestre	34	13	7	14	36:45	46
10	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	12	11	51:43	45
11	Cartigliano	34	11	12	11	44:40	45
12	Este	34	10	13	11	31:42	43
13	Levico Terme	34	11	9	14	31:40	42
14	Ambrosiana	34	11	7	16	45:52	40
15	Delta Porto Tolle	34	10	6	18	43:51	36
16	Spinea	34	6	7	21	27:58	25
17	Cattolica Calcio	34	6	5	23	20:61	23
18	San Martino Speme	34	5	5	24	29:73	20