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Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caldiero Terme host Brusaporto in the Serie D - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Brusaporto have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Caldiero Terme have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.76. Head-to-head, Caldiero Terme have won 2 to Brusaporto's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward Caldiero Terme. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caldiero Terme
15%
Draws
35%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Caldiero Terme on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caldiero Terme's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Brusaporto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.76 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Caldiero Terme
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Brusaporto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 67 / 100
Brusaporto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Caldiero Terme stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Brusaporto has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS Brusaporto
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
11 Oct
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 3
Caldiero Terme
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
11 Oct
Scanzorosciate
1 : 0
Brusaporto
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)