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Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gentile T.
33' Event
Caneva E.
45' Event
Hrom D.

AI Match Summary

Oltrepo in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oltrepo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Caldiero Terme
20%
Draws
17%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Oltrepo have won more games recently than Caldiero Terme.
  • Caldiero Terme are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldiero Terme Oltrepo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepo
2:4
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Caldiero Terme
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Gentile T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caneva E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Oltrepo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrom D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agogliati G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldiero Terme 95 / 100
Oltrepo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldiero Terme Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Caldiero Terme remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Oltrepo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Caldiero Terme VS Oltrepo
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldiero Terme

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

Oltrepo

(Away)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)