Sport Picks
Caldiero Terme vs Vogherese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona 
Match Events
27'
27'
Orfeini T.
55'
55'
Palma M.
62'
62'
Maglione R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldiero Terme
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Caldiero Terme lately — more wins on the board than Vogherese.
- Model gives Caldiero Terme a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caldiero Terme | Vogherese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Vogherese vs Caldiero Terme
0:6
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Vogherese
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Orfeini T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cavallotti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Vogherese Compare
Top Goalscorer Palma M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maglione R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caldiero Terme 95 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caldiero Terme Vogherese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caldiero Terme found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Vogherese let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Vogherese has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caldiero Terme VS Vogherese
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Caldiero Terme
(Home) 06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2 Brusaporto
22 Mar
Caldiero Terme
3 : 1 Real Calepina
01 Mar
Caldiero Terme
2 : 4 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 3
Vogherese
(Away) 03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
Page 1 of 6
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
22 Mar
AC Leon
3 : 2 Vogherese
01 Mar
Castellanzese
1 : 0 Vogherese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
