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Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NSL Women McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
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Match Events

21' Event
Hunter K.
Assist: Rowe L.
33'
Stordy G.
33' Event
Hunter K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AFC Toronto W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Toronto W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Calgary Wild FC W
35%
Draws
34%
AFC Toronto W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Toronto W lately — more wins on the board than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AFC Toronto W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calgary Wild FC W AFC Toronto W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.09 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.26 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:6
Jul 28, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:0
May 31, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AFC Toronto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunter K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calgary Wild FC W 34 / 100
AFC Toronto W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calgary Wild FC W AFC Toronto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Toronto W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Calgary Wild FC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Calgary Wild FC W scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Calgary Wild FC W VS AFC Toronto W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Calgary Wild FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

AFC Toronto W

(Away)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)