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Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Melenhorst K.
46'
Sub
Belzile F. In: Fridlund J.
Out: Belzile F.
50' Event
Johnson K.
Assist: Jones M.

AI Match Summary

Ottawa Rapid FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ottawa Rapid FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Calgary Wild FC W
30%
Draws
23%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calgary Wild FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ottawa Rapid FC W lately — more wins on the board than Calgary Wild FC W.
  • Win probability leans Calgary Wild FC W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Ottawa Rapid FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calgary Wild FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.09 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
Aug 15, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
4:3
Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
Jul 5, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
3:1
May 2, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs Calgary Wild FC W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calgary Wild FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Melenhorst K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fridlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calgary Wild FC W 83 / 100
Ottawa Rapid FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calgary Wild FC W Ottawa Rapid FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calgary Wild FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ottawa Rapid FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Calgary Wild FC W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ottawa Rapid FC W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calgary Wild FC W VS Ottawa Rapid FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Calgary Wild FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
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Ottawa Rapid FC W

(Away)
02 Oct
Montreal Roses FC W
0 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3
Montreal Roses FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)