Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Calvi Noale vs Campodarsego

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ejesi R.

AI Match Summary

Calvi Noale in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calvi Noale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Calvi Noale
15%
Draws
32%
Campodarsego
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Campodarsego haven't matched Calvi Noale's recent run of results.
  • Calvi Noale are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 20%
Campodarsego Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calvi Noale Campodarsego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Campodarsego
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Calvi Noale
1:3
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Calvi Noale
3:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Campodarsego
0:1
Apr 4, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Campodarsego vs Calvi Noale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calvi Noale Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejesi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Campodarsego Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calvi Noale 85 / 100
Campodarsego 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calvi Noale Campodarsego

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Calvi Noale stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Calvi Noale found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Campodarsego has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calvi Noale VS Campodarsego
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calvi Noale

(Home)
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
03 Apr
Este
0 : 2
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

Campodarsego

(Away)
03 May
Campodarsego
4 : 1
Cjarlins Muzane
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
12 Apr
Campodarsego
1 : 0
Bassano Virtus
02 Apr
Vigasio
3 : 0
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)