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Stadium Background

Camacha vs Celoricense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Martim F.
64' Event
Muhammad I.
80'
Alirio R.

AI Match Summary

Celoricense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celoricense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Camacha
40%
Draws
29%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celoricense lately — more wins on the board than Camacha.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Camacha Clean Sheet 20%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Celoricense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Celoricense
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Camacha
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Celoricense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martim F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 32 / 100
Celoricense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacha found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Celoricense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Camacha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Celoricense
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
18 Apr
Camacha
1 : 2
Celoricense
12 Apr
Vilaverdense FC
0 : 3
Camacha
29 Mar
Camacha
1 : 3
GD Braganca
22 Mar
Camacha
2 : 1
Machico
Page 1 of 6

Celoricense

(Away)
18 Apr
Camacha
1 : 2
Celoricense
12 Apr
Celoricense
0 : 0
Machico
04 Apr
Brito
0 : 1
Celoricense
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
SC Vianense
3 : 0
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)