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Camacha vs Celoricense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Martim F.
64' Event
Muhammad I.
80'
Alirio R.

AI Match Summary

Celoricense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celoricense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Camacha
30%
Draws
33%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celoricense lately — more wins on the board than Camacha.
  • Camacha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Camacha Clean Sheet 20%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camacha Celoricense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Celoricense
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Camacha
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Celoricense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martim F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camacha 36 / 100
Celoricense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camacha Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Camacha remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Camacha scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Celoricense has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Camacha VS Celoricense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Camacha

(Home)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
Page 1 of 7

Celoricense

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)