Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Camaiore Calcio vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Priore E.
42' Event
Tolomello F.
85' Event
Magazzu L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Camaiore Calcio and Sporting Trestina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Trestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Camaiore Calcio
30%
Draws
47%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Camaiore Calcio haven't matched Sporting Trestina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sporting Trestina a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Camaiore Calcio Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Camaiore Calcio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Magazzu L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Priore E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolomello F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Camaiore Calcio 23 / 100
Sporting Trestina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Camaiore Calcio Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Trestina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camaiore Calcio's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Sporting Trestina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Camaiore Calcio VS Sporting Trestina
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Camaiore Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)