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Cambodia vs Aruba

World World

Friendly International 2025 National Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bennett W.
11' Event
Ostiana R.
43'
Ogawa Y.

AI Match Summary

Aruba in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
53%
Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aruba at 1.52 per game, Cambodia at 1.44.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 13%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Aruba
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Aruba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostiana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 35 / 100
Aruba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aruba conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Cambodia scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cambodia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Aruba
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
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Aruba

(Away)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
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