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Cambodia vs Malaysia

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Wilkin S.
Assist: Ting D.
46'
Sub
Ahmad S. In: Lok D.
Out: Ahmad S.
52' Event
Coulibaly A.
Assist: Kim S.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship 2024 game between Cambodia and Malaysia finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cambodia
15%
Draws
46%
Malaysia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Malaysia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malaysia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 19%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia Malaysia
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Malaysia
2:2
Dec 9, 2022 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Cambodia
4:0
Dec 6, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Malaysia
1:3
Nov 8, 2018 ASEAN Championship
Cambodia vs Malaysia
0:1
Sep 10, 2018 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Malaysia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Malaysia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tierney F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia 36 / 100
Malaysia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia Malaysia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cambodia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Malaysia let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Cambodia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia VS Malaysia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia

(Home)
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia

(Away)
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)