Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cambodia W vs Thailand W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Casteen M.
Assist: Manowang P.
40' Event
Jinantuya J.
Assist: Klinklai P.
45' Event
Casteen M.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship Women 2025 game between Cambodia W and Thailand W finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cambodia W
30%
Draws
41%
Thailand W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thailand W come out ahead of Cambodia W on wins alone.
  • Cambodia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thailand W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Cambodia W Clean Sheet 16%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cambodia W Thailand W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.12 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Cambodia W
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Cambodia W vs Thailand W
0:7
May 15, 2023 Southeast Asian Games Women
Cambodia W vs Thailand W
0:6
May 9, 2023 Southeast Asian Games Women
Cambodia W vs Thailand W
0:3
Jul 4, 2018 ASEAN Championship Women
Thailand W vs Cambodia W
11:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cambodia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jinantuya J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Casteen M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cambodia W 84 / 100
Thailand W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cambodia W Thailand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambodia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Cambodia W scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Recent resilience: Cambodia W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Thailand W let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cambodia W VS Thailand W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cambodia W

(Home)
22 Jul
Cambodia W
1 : 2
Singapore W
19 Jul
Cambodia W
0 : 1
Laos W
16 Jul
Indonesia W
1 : 1
Cambodia W
13 Jul
Cambodia W
3 : 1
Timor-Leste W
09 Jun
Indonesia W
1 : 1
Cambodia W
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Thailand W

(Away)
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
15 Apr
Thailand W
2 : 0
D.R. Congo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Thailand W 3 2 0 1 14:1 6
3 Cambodia W 3 0 1 2 1:14 1
4 Indonesia W 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Australia U23 W 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 8:2 4
4 Timor-Leste W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)